QF
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Thread: QF

  1. #1
    I will post performance in my live accounts.
    The FX account is composed of two sub accounts. One for long trades only, the other for quick trades only.
    I also have an account for non-fx trades who's performance I'll also post. The sum of the 3 accounts totaled $130000 opened Jan 1st, 2010.

    Every once in a while I also plan on submitting my perspective on where markets are headed. I'll continue to post as long as I think it is not taking a lot of my time.

  2. #2
    I have added a brief GBPUSD and USDJPY positions. I have a small lengthy AUDJPY position. Lastly, I have a brief ETF index position I'm still holding from a few weeks ago.

    Markets are largely uneventful today. If current trends persist I should clean up pretty nicely.

    Charts appear oversold, but market is driven by fear of fundamentals. The fear is well justified as it is becoming increasingly more apparent that western economic collapse is solely due to government spending. Company public and credit lending is as tight as it's ever been. We might be headed for a double dip. When there's a double dip, the amount of spending authorities will have to do would be much bigger than the first time around. There will be alot of governmental resistance and indecision about further government subsidies. This could cause another depression.

  3. #3
    Folks are taking some profits off the table , which is understandable, BUT I am still a large USD bull.

    The markets have not had a single back to back optimistic days in a few weeks. The Eurozone is as screwed up as ever. As the New York Times reported today 1 out of each 5.5 $ paid to workers comes from government as opposed to private industry. The US is fukced and that I will exploit it as far as I can. Does destruction of society in US mean that stocks can not rally and make new all time highs? Oh no. What this means is that the US market will have more and more seizures (those beautiful 3 sigma moves) while the US consumer becomes irrelevant to world economic growth. The only worrisome part is that the US might not go down peacefully like the USSR, but using a large bang.

    Enough babbling: Down to business. Yesterday I had been short GBPUSD and USDJPY and future indices while and extended AUDJPY. I had been fortunate enough to have my own GBPUSD and USDJPY positions hit their targets. The markets have retraced because the over night lows. This has induced me to input a short on the GBPUSD back again. The USDJPY barely reached its target on the short side for the time being I am not planning on reopening a position in that pair. Rather, I have gone long USDCHF. I don't know where or when the retracement will finish, but the bigger the retracement the longer I expect to buy USD and short european currencies.

    I had a pending order to go long AUDJPY off the lows but has been now triggered by a couple of pips. That has been a mistake, but I am still holding on my little AUDJPY position which is behaving as a partial hedge to my index position.



  4. #4
    Here's a link to some sub account I have which monitors my performance trade by trade:
    https://www.myfxbook.com/portfolio/q...inancial/22597

    Click it a few times if you get an error at first. There is some a few of problem with myfxbook.

    The equity curve doesn't include trades taken on EFT indices since those transactions I execute with a non MT4 broker which myfxbook doesn't track.

    Lastly, notice that the drawdown is irrelevant here since this is an extremely leveraged account. I aim is to maintain the most break to valley NAV drawdown in my overall portfolio to less than 20%. So far that the NAV maximum peak to valley drawdown of the portfolio was around 10 percent.

  5. #5
    Not a large change in the FX market. As mentioned yesterday, the market rally has really proven to be only a profit taking. As I write, the EUR is slipping and will likely go to about 1.2 through the night.

    Same fundamental problems persist.

    I don't have an immediate EURUSD position due to potential central bank interventions and currency manipulation. I have the specific same positions as yesterday and that I am going to add a long JPY position shortly as I see the flight to security motif continuing.

    I was closing my index ETF short position today, but when I saw that the market was not able to hold the gains when it started, I decided to stay put and wait. Turned out to be the ideal decision.

  6. #6
    What a day... Bad economic news (GDP, Unemployment claims) yet the market is able to rally 300 factors. Bahahahaha.

    I closed my EFT index standing with profit (was substantially bigger yesterday!) . My short GBPUSD and USDCHF places were stopped out and a short USDJPY position I had. The fantastic news is I managed to go long GBPUSD this afternoon along with my AUDJPY reach its goal, therefore while more than I lost cash now, it had been much less than it could have been awarded my own placement...(around 2%).

    That I am likely to look at going long ETFs (nasdaq) maybe on monday. I'll also be moving short the EUR in case it increase a little further since I strongly believe the EUR will sooner or later keep its downward tendency.

    I will begin closing down FX places I have because I do not want any exposure to gaps within the weekend. The EUR shorting will have to wait until next week (unless we see a massive spike up throughout the asian session now in which case I will probably just be unable to resist shorting out the hell out of this EUR).

  7. #7
    Monthly summary for first four months of this year (jan via april) for longs just account attached below. Be aware this is for extended transactions just and as you can see the first four months of this year have never been especially good to go long over almost any currency pair. None the less, I have managed to maintain the account fairly flat even after taking a very high number of extended transactions.





  8. #8
    Same as above except for short trades only. The past four months have been paradise for virtually anything in FX. That's where I've developed the account mostly.

    Oanda will create similar reports offered for May on Tuesday of next week. I'll be sure to post those outcomes too. I will provide you a little hint though. . The outcomes have been spectacular this season.





  9. #9
    Here is the last article comprising the third and final account I have with that I exchange everything _except_ Currency Market.

    The equity curve toward the conclusion indies the decrease in realized profit I needed to take today because I was incorrect about the market having had enough of a dip on Wednesday because it had given back all of the pre-market gains. Can not always get it right I guess (unless you are one of the 6 largest banks in which the event you do not have a single losing day all quarter since you have license to pick people's pockets) ... nevertheless May has been a month.


  10. #10
    Not much to report today. My extended GBPUSD closed with profit which exactly offset the reduction I took on the USDJPY, so a flat day.

    Not an easy market today. I am just glad I did not eliminate money. I haven't any open positions on any of my accounts.

    Let's see what next week brings.

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