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Thread: FX-Petra Trade Journal

  1. #21
    Project Start= $1,000

    Week Begin = $1,596.51

    Week end = $ 1,667.25

    Longest Trade Sequence= 3 Transactions


    Took of last week for Thanksgiving. Back this week with average results. Maybe not a lot of volitility till Friday and NFP. My increases in this account are slow, but stable. We'll see what next week holds.

  2. #22
    Keep it up guy. The machine is equally as good as every other program long term. Perhaps you ought to have a trailing stop in your equity curve. That way you'll be able to walk away with a profit.

  3. #23
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Keep it up man. The machine is equally as good as any other system long term. Maybe you ought to have a trailing stop in your equity curve. This way you'll be able to walk off with a profit.
    Thank you for stopping buy! Whether this system shows promise following a fantastic time frame (6 months to a year), I will attempt to simplify it to make it more understandable. Execution is fairly simple.... The reasoning behind it's not. Things are going good up to now!

  4. #24
    Hello FX-Petra,

    Just curious, could be I missed it, but is your egy partly based on some kind of martingale? Anyhow, best of luck to you, hopefully you will not see an 11 trade sequence in the Not Too Distant Future

  5. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Hello,

    Just interested, may be I missed it, but is your own system partly based on some type of martingale? Anyhow, best of luck to you, hopefully you will not find an 11 trade sequence in the near future
    Yes, and as I have said, it will eventually lose. Just trying to give myself the best chance of remaining alive until the 5k or 6k trade mark. If I attain that level, I shall have gathered a handsome sum!

  6. #26
    Start balance: $1,000 usd

    Week start bal: $1667.25

    Week end bal: $1758.08

    Longest trade sequence= 4 trades


    Another good week, even though unspectaular. Random entries worked well-- surely kept me from trying to average down!!! E/U took a large drop this week. Perhaps downtrend will start. No issue to the system. I'll keep firing next week!

  7. #27

  8. #28
    Let me say again that I WILL struck a string of 11 losses in a row when I trade long enough. How many trades until I hit this arrangement? I can't be 100% convinced. But for my purposes a 99.99% confidence level will do. So:

    NT= log(1-DC)/ log (1-P) NT= log(1-.9999)/ log (1-.9997636) NT= 38,962
    I can be 99.99% convinced that I will reach least 1 streak of 11 in a row before I reach 38,962 trades. Sounds pretty good, right? Not so fast. When I use a 50% confidence level that amount falls to 2,932. Where will my experiment fall under the curve? There is no way to understand. However, I understand I have a fighting chance to flip my 7k into a retirement amount in 3-5 decades. I'm carrying my shot.

  9. #29
    Fantastic thread. Would love an update!

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