Risk off proceeds, sux if a 40 pip movement feels huge.
wa wa wa. Stopped out. I had some signs to close according to hrly candles, but made it open on the idea that the trade was valid risk. Thinking about that you now.
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.. FX Daily
Trading patterns enclosing the
FOMC minutes
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#61550; The FOMC minutes have demoned significant in bridging the gap between
exactly what the dovish Fed leadership are believing, along with the evolving view among
other FOMC members.
#61550; 10y yields have gone up on ten consecutive FOMC minutes release days.
This strong pattern for greater bond yields on FOMC minutes release days,
happens after FOMC's Economic projections and press conferences, or
absent these occasions
#61550; The USD Trade-weighted index versus major currencies, has been up on
11 of the last 13 FOMC minutes release days, indiing that the bearish bias
in US longer-dated yields has largely interpreted to a stronger USD.
#61550; A clear evolution into the hawkish side among FOMC'rank and file' is much more
likely to be evident in the July FOMC meeting minutes, assuming another
strong payrolls report next month. As significant as these moments are that they
are just about to find a fantastic deal more interesting in the wake of the subsequent one
or 2 meetings.
https://forexintuitive.com/attachmen...1483441158.pdf
Market movers now
#61623; US first unemployment claims are expected to indie a continuing improvement in
the labour market. The current degree of the first unemployment claims has
historically been consistent with yearly gains in non-farm payrolls exceeding
250,000 as reflected in the latest non-farm payrolls for June.
#61623; The interest rate meeting in Bank of England is unlikely to provide significant news in
terms of changes to its current monetary policy. Rather focus is going to be on the minutes
in the assembly (released on 23 July), where we will see whether there is some dissident
vote one of board members, advoing an earlier rate increase.
#61623; We estimate a monthly decline in France and Italian industrial production of 0.2% and
0.5% respectively. Given the series of negative surprises in industrial production statistics
for June, notably in Germany and the UK, risks are most likely tilted to the downside
comparative to our forecasts.
Selected market news
#61623; In accore with the FOMC minutes in the 17-18 June meeting released last night, the
Fed will finish its QE3 programme using a USD15bn taper in October barring any
economic surprises. For the first time that the Fed now signals a clear end-date for QE3
and while pace and timing of interest rate rises remain under discussion, it appears
highly probable this will get a market theme after in H2.
#61623; The Fed also debated its'exit egy' and also how it must communie its upcoming
coverage to financial markets. According to the minutes,'many' Fed officials wish to
keep reinvesting income in their advantage purchases until at or after the time that interest
rates rise, which might be an alteration to the current egy of stopping reinvestment
before increasing rates. Additionally,'many' officials indied a preference for ongoing
to express that the target Federal Funds rate for a range when the Fed eventually starts to
increase rates instead of giving a single number as it did in the past.
heatmap http://finviz.com/forex.ashx