
Originally Posted by
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One matter (concerning positioning and risk) that I would recommend you to watch.
When price is slumping through a key level, many bigger players and market manufacturers will attempt to position on the surge. Expecting that price will soon reverse. If not their reduction is taken by them on the incorrect side.
Confusing likely, but like this morning when the EURUSD jumped down through 4572, my guess is many were postioning long under this level. They'll hope that demand turns price and traders will soon be caught short. Be careful when setting up. If your risk tolerance is not large it's ideal to await price set up and to settle under or over a level.
You Need to think like a trader, not just like the rest of the herd.
In the scenario above, once the EURO slammed into 4572, how can you believe traders were put. Look at a chart and you'll see that they were likely positioned long here. They would have been stopped out by now. So when price hit this level, there was selling so many previous traders could escape their longs (which were incorrect). Naturally, you will find a surge down here, nevertheless if price retakes the level and proceeds upward, then it lets you know that this was in fact a level for buying. If price continues down in this amount you know that's is good point.
Not rocket science, but many don't believe this way.